Emmen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VOL
6 - 0
FCE
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
FCD
5 - 0
FCE
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
FCE
3 - 1
APE
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
FCE
1 - 3
HEL
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 6
FCE
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 0
ZWO
45%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
HFC
0 - 1
EXC
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
RBC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
HAA
6 - 6
EXC
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |