Emmen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
FCE
0 - 0
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
FCE
5 - 1
TEL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
RBC
2 - 4
FCE
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
FCE
4 - 1
ZWO
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
FCD
2 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 0
BVO
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
MVV
3 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
VVV
6 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |