CS Emelec vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
EME
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
IVT
5 - 0
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EME
5 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
IVT
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 0
MAN
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 2
MUS
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MUS
2 - 0
BSC
38%
31%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |