Primera A 2 Phase Pilsener Cup Round 7

CS Emelec vs Mushuc Runa analysis

CS Emelec Mushuc Runa
80 ELO 72
3.6% Tilt -12.5%
734º General ELO ranking 692º
16º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
67.4%
CS Emelec
18.5%
Draw
14.2%
Mushuc Runa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
CS Emelec
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Emelec
-8%
+8%
Mushuc Runa

ELO progression

CS Emelec
Mushuc Runa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 1
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
51%
24%
25%
80 78 2 0
14 Sep. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
43%
28%
29%
80 80 0 0
01 Sep. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
5 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
49%
26%
25%
81 80 1 -1
27 Aug. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Águilas Doradas
AGU
59%
23%
18%
81 78 3 0
24 Aug. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
5 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
61%
23%
16%
81 74 7 0

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
32%
25%
43%
73 81 8 0
31 Aug. 2014
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
56%
25%
20%
72 73 1 +1
24 Aug. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 0
Manta
MAN
53%
27%
20%
72 70 2 0
17 Aug. 2014
OLM
CD Olmedo
1 - 2
Mushuc Runa
MUS
51%
27%
22%
71 73 2 +1
13 Aug. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
38%
31%
31%
70 78 8 +1