CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
EME
4 - 0
HUA
63%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 2
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 3
EME
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
LOJ
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |