CS Emelec vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
BSC
1 - 1
EME
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 3
EME
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
IVT
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
CUE
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 2
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
BSC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |