CS Emelec vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 0
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EME
3 - 0
CUE
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EME
1 - 0
MUS
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EME
0 - 2
DAN
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
EME
3 - 3
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
STR
3 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -4 |