EMD Aceuchal vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 1
COR
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 0
CDD
22%
25%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
EMD
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 1
EMD
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 2
ARR
42%
27%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARR
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
37%
28%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 2
ARR
42%
27%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 2
PLA
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |