Embid vs Paracuellos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+566%
+593%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LMU
4 - 0
EMB
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ZAL
5 - 2
EMB
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SES
3 - 4
EMB
22%
21%
58%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
EMB
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EMB
3 - 1
EPI
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paracuellos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SES
2 - 1
PAR
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
PAR
65%
18%
18%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 3
EPI
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
PAR
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
TOR
37%
22%
42%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |