Elverum vs Innstrandens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
8º
3º
24
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 2
ELV
27%
22%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
5 - 1
FBG
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
ELV
41%
22%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 2
SIK
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 3
ELV
14%
17%
70%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Innstrandens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KON
2 - 0
IFC
79%
12%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 2
FFK
22%
18%
60%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 2
IFC
40%
21%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 1
ILU
42%
21%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 0
IFC
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |