Elmshorn vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ELM
0 - 0
GER
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
ELM
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 3
ELM
24%
23%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ELM
3 - 1
BAR
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ELM
2 - 0
RUG
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
2 - 0
HAL
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CON
5 - 0
SVL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
2 - 2
CUR
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
2 - 2
GER
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NIE
1 - 1
SVL
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |