Ellerton vs Paradise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ellerton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ELL
1 - 2
WOT
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
ELL
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ELL
0 - 2
KSF
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
DEA
1 - 1
ELL
47%
21%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
ELL
14%
17%
70%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
EMP
1 - 3
PAR
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WOT
1 - 1
PAR
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
WEY
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
UWI
2 - 1
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |