Elite vs Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 2
ELI
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CAY
3 - 3
ELI
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ELI
3 - 2
BOD
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ELI
0 - 2
BRA
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
ELI
2 - 3
SCH
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 3
CAY
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ACA
3 - 1
ELI
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NSI
4 - 4
ACA
38%
22%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BOD
5 - 1
ACA
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |