Elite vs Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BOD
1 - 2
ELI
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 4
ELI
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ELI
1 - 0
NSI
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
GEO
2 - 2
ELI
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
ELI
1 - 1
CAY
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 5
GEO
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
3 - 0
CAY
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |