Elite 3 vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite 3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RIS
0 - 0
ELI
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ELI
2 - 4
SVE
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BFR
4 - 1
ELI
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
HIK
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOL
0 - 2
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 3
HER
52%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
NOR
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BGA
1 - 1
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |