Elgin City vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ELG
0 - 0
QUE
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BER
2 - 3
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
STI
3 - 1
ELG
40%
24%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ELG
1 - 2
RAI
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ELG
4 - 2
EAS
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 1
MON
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
BLA
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
STI
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
THE
3 - 1
MON
53%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 6
QUE
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |