Elgin City vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
1 - 2
ELG
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
ELG
0 - 4
BRE
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MON
3 - 3
ELG
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ELG
2 - 3
PET
24%
28%
48%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
QUE
5 - 2
ELG
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 2
PET
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 1
ALB
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
STR
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
PET
2 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
QUE
67%
19%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |