Elgin City vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
ELG
0 - 3
ALL
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
ELG
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 0
ELG
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ELG
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ELG
0 - 1
PET
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 0
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 2
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |