Elgin City vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
10º
9º
36
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ELG
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUF
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 2
EAS
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
0 - 4
ALB
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 4
ALB
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
DUM
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
5 - 1
ALB
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |