Eldense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1976 |
SFE
2 - 0
ELD
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
JER
1 - 0
ELD
61%
25%
14%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
ELD
1 - 0
AGD
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ELD
2 - 2
XER
47%
30%
24%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BAL
2 - 0
ELD
46%
32%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1976 |
CDB
0 - 2
RJA
59%
26%
15%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
RJA
0 - 0
BAL
72%
20%
8%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
ALM
2 - 0
RJA
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALB
81%
15%
4%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1975 |
CEL
1 - 0
RJA
83%
11%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |