Élitei Project vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Élitei Project
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
THD
2 - 1
ELD
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ELD
1 - 1
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
ELD
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ELD
2 - 1
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
ELD
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 1
THD
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RAY
2 - 0
IND
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
RAY
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 1
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 1
RAY
19%
22%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |