Elche vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 0
ELC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ELC
2 - 1
FCB
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BET
1 - 4
ELC
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
REC
0 - 0
ELC
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NUM
4 - 6
FCB
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
NUM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NUM
3 - 0
XER
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 0
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 3
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |