Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 3
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
ELC
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 2
HUE
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
XER
0 - 0
ELC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
4 - 2
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |