Elche vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
SAB
1 - 1
ELC
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
ELC
2 - 0
HOS
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
ELC
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
FIG
0 - 0
ELC
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
ELC
0 - 0
BEN
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
GIM
1 - 1
CAS
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
FIG
3 - 1
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
GIM
0 - 0
BEN
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
MUR
2 - 0
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
GIM
0 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |