Elche vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ATB
1 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ELC
2 - 0
LEV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1981 |
ELC
1 - 1
CFP
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
OVI
1 - 1
ELC
46%
30%
24%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
CAD
2 - 0
ELC
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
CAS
4 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
RAC
1 - 1
CAS
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1981 |
CAS
4 - 0
AND
84%
11%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
64%
22%
13%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 1
LIN
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |