Elche vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
RMC
4 - 0
ELC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
REC
2 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIM
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 2
ELC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 1
RCF
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
POL
0 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ALM
5 - 1
LEV
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 1
EIB
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |