Ilicitano vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
ELC
2 - 2
JOV
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
VIJ
1 - 4
ELC
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ELC
1 - 3
ELD
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ELC
1 - 1
BEN
70%
18%
13%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
INT
0 - 0
ELC
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
VIJ
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
ELD
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
CRE
41%
27%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
JOV
1 - 0
HER
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |