El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
33
4º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
SLP
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
DFR
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
DPR
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 1
GIM
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 1
SPB
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
GIM
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
20%
27%
54%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |