Einheit Wernigerode vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
49.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
14º
9º
70
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
EWD
51%
21%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EWD
1 - 2
AUE
50%
21%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
EWD
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
EWD
1 - 2
CHL
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 2
EWD
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 1
SVG
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GER
3 - 3
BIS
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 0
SCF
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BIS
5 - 0
OBE
75%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 2
ZWI
6%
13%
81%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |