Segunda . Jor. 39

Eibar vs Numancia analysis

Eibar Numancia
71 ELO 72
-18.3% Tilt -39.8%
266º General ELO ranking 2991º
23º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Eibar
27.9%
Draw
34.6%
Numancia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Eibar
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.6%
Win probability
Numancia
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eibar
-5%
-4%
Numancia

ELO progression

Eibar
Numancia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eibar
Eibar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2002
CDB
CD Badajoz
0 - 1
Eibar
EIB
49%
29%
22%
70 66 4 0
21 Apr. 2002
EIB
Eibar
2 - 0
Real Sporting
SPO
34%
28%
38%
69 74 5 +1
13 Apr. 2002
REC
Recreativo
1 - 0
Eibar
EIB
60%
26%
14%
69 74 5 0
07 Apr. 2002
EIB
Eibar
0 - 1
UD Salamanca
SLA
38%
28%
34%
70 72 2 -1
31 Mar. 2002
LEV
Levante
0 - 0
Eibar
EIB
59%
25%
16%
70 69 1 0

Matches

Numancia
Numancia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2002
NUM
Numancia
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
65%
22%
14%
72 64 8 0
21 Apr. 2002
BUR
Burgos
1 - 1
Numancia
NUM
30%
28%
42%
72 65 7 0
14 Apr. 2002
NUM
Numancia
0 - 1
Racing
RAC
34%
26%
40%
73 81 8 -1
07 Apr. 2002
EXT
CF Extremadura
0 - 2
Numancia
NUM
39%
27%
34%
72 69 3 +1
30 Mar. 2002
NUM
Numancia
1 - 2
Real Oviedo
OVI
38%
26%
36%
73 79 6 -1
X