Eibar vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 0
ALA
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
EIB
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EIB
0 - 0
PON
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 2
EIB
61%
23%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
EIB
0 - 0
REC
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
LUG
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |