Eibar vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
27.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CDO
0 - 2
EIB
64%
25%
11%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
CDU
1 - 1
EIB
44%
29%
27%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
EIB
3 - 0
ALB
34%
31%
35%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
GRA
2 - 0
EIB
77%
17%
6%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
EIB
3 - 1
TOL
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ALC
4 - 0
NUL
83%
11%
7%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 3
ALZ
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ALC
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ALC
5 - 0
AGD
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 0
TAL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |