Eibar B vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
45%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEM
1 - 0
EIB
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
EIB
0 - 0
LON
49%
27%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
EIB
58%
26%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
EIB
5 - 1
SDA
43%
28%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ZAL
1 - 0
EIB
50%
27%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
GER
2 - 0
CLU
66%
22%
11%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SDI
0 - 3
GER
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GER
2 - 1
SDA
58%
25%
18%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ZAR
2 - 1
GER
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
CDT
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |