NPSL - USA Midwest Round 1

Ehtar vs Sunflower State FC analysis

Ehtar Sunflower State FC
14 ELO 27
0.9% Tilt 0.5%
50530º General ELO ranking 10518º
972º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
13.9%
Ehtar
17.1%
Draw
69%
Sunflower State FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
Ehtar
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69%
Win probability
Sunflower State FC
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ehtar
+107%
-44%
Sunflower State FC

Points and table prediction

Ehtar
Their league position
Sunflower State FC
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
20º
22º
21º
12
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dakota Fusion
30
30
100%
Akron City FC
24
24
100%
Steel City
24
24
100%
Gio's Lions
20
23
100%
Duluth
22
22
100%
Kansas City Sol
21
21
100%
Michigan Rangers
20
20
49%
Des Moines United
20
20
49%
Minnesota TwinStars
20
20
49%
Siouxland United
10º
18
18
10º
100%
MIlwaukee Torrent
11º
17
17
11º
51%
Joy St. Louis Park
12º
17
17
12º
51%
Cleveland SC
13º
16
16
13º
51%
Flower City Union
14º
16
16
14º
51%
Oklahoma City 1889
17º
10
13
15º
51%
Erie Commodores
15º
12
12
16º
100%
Sunflower State FC
16º
12
12
17º
51%
Sioux Falls Thunder
19º
9
9
18º
51%
St Louis Club Atletico
18º
9
9
19º
51%
Arkansas Wolves
20º
8
8
20º
51%
Ehtar
21º
6
6
21º
100%
Wisconsin Conquerors
22º
2
2
22º
100%
Demize NPSL
23º
1
1
23º
0%
Minnesota Blizzard
24º
1
1
24º
0%
Niagara 1812
26º
1
1
25º
0%
SI Guardians
25º
1
1
26º
0%
Expected probabilities
Ehtar
Sunflower State FC
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Ehtar
Sunflower State FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ehtar
Ehtar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2023
EFC
Ehtar
1 - 1
MIlwaukee Torrent
MIT
9%
15%
76%
13 28 15 0
25 Jun. 2023
EFC
Ehtar
0 - 0
St Louis Club Atletico
SLA
15%
17%
68%
13 20 7 0
24 Jun. 2023
SSF
Sunflower State FC
2 - 1
Ehtar
EFC
88%
8%
4%
13 29 16 0
17 Jun. 2023
EFC
Ehtar
3 - 2
Sunflower State FC
SSF
6%
13%
81%
10 31 21 +3
11 Jun. 2023
IRA
Iowa Raptors
6 - 3
Ehtar
EFC
49%
21%
30%
11 11 0 -1

Matches

Sunflower State FC
Sunflower State FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2024
SSF
Sunflower State FC
0 - 3
Steel City
STC
39%
22%
40%
28 33 5 0
09 Jul. 2023
SSF
Sunflower State FC
0 - 1
MIlwaukee Torrent
MIT
55%
20%
25%
29 28 1 -1
06 Jul. 2023
SSF
Sunflower State FC
0 - 4
Des Moines United
DMU
82%
11%
6%
30 18 12 -1
02 Jul. 2023
SSF
Sunflower State FC
5 - 2
Iowa Raptors
IRA
85%
10%
5%
30 16 14 0
24 Jun. 2023
SSF
Sunflower State FC
2 - 1
Ehtar
EFC
88%
8%
4%
29 13 16 +1