EFC vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 0
EFC
53%
22%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EFC
1 - 0
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 1
LON
46%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
EFC
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 0
VLI
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 0
GEL
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JEK
1 - 1
GEL
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 1
VLI
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 1
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |