1ª Madrid Round 16

EF Arganda vs Union Carrascal analysis

EF Arganda Union Carrascal
15 ELO 15
-4.4% Tilt -1.8%
14091º General ELO ranking 11372º
3768º Country ELO ranking 1658º
ELO win probability
62.9%
EF Arganda
19.4%
Draw
17.7%
Union Carrascal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
EF Arganda
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.7%
Win probability
Union Carrascal
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EF Arganda
+4%
+41%
Union Carrascal

ELO progression

EF Arganda
Union Carrascal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EF Arganda
EF Arganda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2015
COL
Colmenar Oreja
0 - 0
EF Arganda
ARG
64%
20%
16%
16 22 6 0
21 Dec. 2014
ARG
EF Arganda
2 - 0
Nuevas Palomeras
NPA
72%
16%
11%
16 10 6 0
14 Dec. 2014
BET
Betis San Isidro
3 - 1
EF Arganda
ARG
43%
24%
33%
17 16 1 -1
30 Nov. 2014
ARG
EF Arganda
4 - 1
ADC Brunete
BRU
56%
21%
23%
16 14 2 +1
23 Nov. 2014
IMA
Intersoccer Madrid
0 - 1
EF Arganda
ARG
34%
23%
43%
15 13 2 +1

Matches

Union Carrascal
Union Carrascal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2015
UCA
Union Carrascal
3 - 2
EMF Villarejo
VIL
41%
23%
37%
12 13 1 0
21 Dec. 2014
URS
CD Ursaria
5 - 0
Union Carrascal
UCA
70%
17%
13%
13 18 5 -1
14 Dec. 2014
UCA
Union Carrascal
0 - 1
San Martin de la Vega
SMV
55%
21%
24%
14 13 1 -1
30 Nov. 2014
VAL
Vallecas CF
3 - 2
Union Carrascal
UCA
66%
19%
15%
14 20 6 0
23 Nov. 2014
UCA
Union Carrascal
1 - 1
Santa Eugenia 1976
SEU
54%
21%
25%
14 13 1 0