Edmonton vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
EDM
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EDM
0 - 2
MIN
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 0
EDM
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EDM
1 - 1
JAC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JAC
3 - 2
EDM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
OTT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
OTT
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 0
OTT
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 2
OTT
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
MIN
30%
22%
48%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |