Canadian Championship . Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Edmonton vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 3
EDM
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EDM
3 - 2
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
JAC
3 - 1
EDM
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EDM
2 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 3
FOR
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 3
EDM
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 0
MIN
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
OTT
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
OTT
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |