Lowland League round 23

AFC Edinburgh University vs Gretna 2008 analysis

AFC Edinburgh University Gretna 2008
34 ELO 28
-12.1% Tilt -6.9%
24305º General ELO ranking 7679º
103º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
52.5%
AFC Edinburgh University
22.3%
Draw
25.2%
Gretna 2008

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
AFC Edinburgh University
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
Gretna 2008
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

AFC Edinburgh University
Gretna 2008
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Edinburgh University
AFC Edinburgh University
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2019
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
0 - 2
Edusport Academy
EDA
54%
22%
25%
34 31 3 0
09 Mar. 2019
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
1 - 1
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
58%
21%
21%
33 36 3 +1
23 Feb. 2019
EAS
East Kilbride
3 - 0
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
82%
12%
6%
35 52 17 -2
16 Feb. 2019
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
2 - 2
BSC Glasgow
BSC
12%
20%
68%
34 50 16 +1
09 Feb. 2019
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
5 - 0
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
73%
16%
11%
34 42 8 0

Matches

Gretna 2008
Gretna 2008
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2019
GRE
Gretna 2008
2 - 1
Whitehill Welfare
WHI
57%
21%
23%
27 25 2 0
23 Feb. 2019
BSC
BSC Glasgow
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
82%
13%
6%
27 50 23 0
09 Feb. 2019
KHE
Kelty Hearts
4 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
88%
9%
3%
27 50 23 0
26 Jan. 2019
GRE
Gretna 2008
1 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
16%
18%
66%
28 42 14 -1
12 Jan. 2019
EAS
East Kilbride
5 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
85%
11%
5%
29 52 23 -1