EDMF Churra vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BUL
2 - 1
CHU
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CHU
2 - 2
PUL
11%
21%
69%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
CHU
41%
23%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
UCA
5 - 2
CHU
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CHU
1 - 3
IMP
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 1
BUL
12%
21%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PUL
2 - 0
PLU
81%
14%
5%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PLU
3 - 1
OLI
10%
18%
73%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
IMP
4 - 0
PLU
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PLU
1 - 2
MIN
8%
17%
75%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |