Ecuador U20 vs Brasil U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 2
CHI
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 1
CHI
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
URU
2 - 0
ECU
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
ECU
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 3
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
22%
25%
53%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 3
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |