XV de Novembro vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
OSV
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
ECN
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 3
ECN
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ECN
0 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
ECN
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 3
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 3
BAT
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 1
BEB
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 2
FRA
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
BAT
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |