EC São José vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ECS
2 - 0
PAS
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
ECS
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
ECS
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 0
GRE
14%
24%
63%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
ECS
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
LAJ
2 - 0
PEL
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 1
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 0
VER
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 2
PEL
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |