EC São José vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 2
ECS
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
ECS
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ECS
4 - 2
BOT
29%
32%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
YPI
2 - 1
ECS
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 0
OES
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
OES
1 - 2
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
ITU
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FFL
2 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
MIR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
NOV
30%
28%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |