EC São José vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ECS
4 - 0
LAJ
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LAJ
5 - 0
ECS
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
ECS
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECS
34%
25%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
YPI
4 - 1
ECA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ECA
0 - 1
YPI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
URS
1 - 1
ECA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
ECA
1 - 0
URS
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
ECA
2 - 1
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |