EC São José vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
8º
6º
12
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POA
1 - 2
ECS
25%
28%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ECS
4 - 1
NOV
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ECS
3 - 3
FFL
53%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
ECS
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
BRU
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 0
ALT
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 0
BRU
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
SAO
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |