Bahía vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 0
BAH
4%
11%
86%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BAH
6%
13%
82%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
85%
12%
3%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
SDJ
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOA
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
JEQ
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 2
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AEC
1 - 3
VIT
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |