Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
BAH
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITU
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAH
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 1
TOM
60%
26%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PPE
3 - 1
VAS
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
CHA
58%
25%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 0
CRB
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |