Bahía vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAH
28%
25%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 7
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
8%
18%
75%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
4DE
85%
12%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SDJ
3 - 2
SPO
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAL
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |