Bahía vs Sao Domingos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SDF
0 - 0
BAH
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
3 - 2
BAH
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 0
CFC
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Domingos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SDF
0 - 1
EST
54%
23%
22%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SDF
0 - 0
BAH
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SER
0 - 3
SDF
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
OSE
0 - 1
SDF
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SDF
1 - 1
SOC
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |