Bahía vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAH
33%
29%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 0
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 1
TOM
69%
21%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
BAH
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
OPE
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
LON
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |